Ahmed Hany
"Qset Harbin - A tale of two wars" Al-Hadara Publishing, 7 Abou El-Seoud Street, Cairo, Egypt. www.alhadara.com
An English Novel:
A Tale of two wars (e-Book and printed)
http://www.lulu.com/content/2593583
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Articles by Ahmed Hany
November 20, 2009
It was a hot summer day when Malak was sitting anxious listening to the Radio to know the results of the General Certificate of Education. Before she heard her name Nashaat phoned to tell her that she passed the exam with high degrees. He knew from Serag Zaki. Samiah and Fayza congratulated her. Sh...
November 17, 2009
When the US secretary of state Hilary Clinton asked the Palestinian President Mahmood Abbas to resume negotiations without freezing settlements, she put the first nail in the coffin of the peace process based on the Two-States solution. Simply she asked him to negotiate for negotiations while lettin...
November 12, 2009
Nashaat was too excited when he received a phone call telling him that his wife had labor pain. He left the office and went to the hospital where Fayza was accompanying Samiah. He knew that Samiah had severe bleeding and doctors would operate. When Soliman came his sister was in the operating theatr...
November 10, 2009
What is the Turkish strategy? What is the Turkish role in the global strategy of the West as a NATO member? What is the Turkish regional role to serve its global role? Does a Turkish bigger role in the Islamic World serve the global Western strategy or not? What are the internal constraints that form the ceiling of the Turkish moves? The answers of these questions clear the last political moves and determine their strategic or tactic nature that initiated divisons between political analysts.
November 04, 2009
Since President Obama has come he chose the soft power as a method to execute the American strategy. This was clear in his handling the Iranian file. He said that all options are still present on the table but he and his team orchestrated actions on different paths to limit choices for the Iranian d...
October 27, 2009
As the Americans fight their empire existential war in Afghanistan that historically had proved to by a hard rock for empires, they have no choice but continuing fighting for a long time or accepting a new global multilateral system.
October 22, 2009
After condolence days, Nashaat brought Fayza and Malak to live with him in Cairo. The fourteen-year old Malak feared the change especially that she knew that Nashaat would marry. She liked Samiah but the effect of the Egyptian movies that ruined the image of the in laws especially female ones made h...
October 10, 2009
While the US strategists are occupied with their nightmares in Asia, and the US administration faces internal crisis over the health insurance system, President Obama tries to start the peace negotiations in the Middle East without the proper frame within which peace could have a chance. He still ta...
September 07, 2009
Nashaat knew from his servant that Farida wanted to see him urgently. He phoned his sister but she did not tell him anything. She said that she wanted him for something important and that they should discuss the subject. She was calm and even she laughed while they were talking. When he proposed tha...
September 03, 2009
Failed strategies of both the Iraqi government to keep security and the American Army to withdraw from Iraqi cities are behind the wave of explosions that hit Iraq. All seek exit strategies but they do not want to take the proper steps towards them.
August 25, 2009
For the first time in the recent history the west finds Russia and Turkey on the same line. It is the oil the gathered them. However both have other objectives that want to achieve despite the Western opposition.
August 20, 2009
In the Middle East there is competition between two groups. The first is that want to conclude peace deals that is of interest to the USA, Egypt and Saudi Arabia. The second group is sarcastically include Israel, Iran and its allies. Simply peace is important for the first group. The second group gets benefits from the status quo.
August 12, 2009
The hot spots in the Middle East and the Central Asia are linked together in a way that an opportunity of peace or a risk of war in a site will rapidly spread to other sites. The international strategies of the global power USA and other superpowers EU, Russia and China or even the rising power Indi...
July 30, 2009
The EU Foreign Policy Coordinator Mr. Javier Solana asked the UN Security Council to declare a Palestinian State if both Palestinians and Israelis failed to agree on the final status after a limited period of negotiations. What he said is very important development that the Arabs´ diplomacy sh...
July 20, 2009
(8)
Soliman´s father was living with his unmarried daughter Samiah. After the condolences days he decided that his sister should live with him, as it was not accepted socially that a girl lives alone. In fact, Roh felt that Soliman would take that decision so she decided to tell him first. ...
July 19, 2009
Despite Russian agreement to allow the US to use its land and air space for supplying Western forces in Afghanistan, still there are obstacles that President Obama should tackle to reach some sort of partnership with the second global military power. The Russian stance could be summarized in five no...
July 07, 2009
The post-election riots in Iran showed that analysts did not have sound views about the internal power conflict in the Persian state. Most analysts did not predict that opposition leaders have the power to move thousands and to threat the regime. They also gave the presidential post more value than ...
June 24, 2009
The story of two elections.
ahmedhany55@hotmail.com
The Middle East witnessed two elections recently, the first was in Lebanon, the regional political lab and the second was in Iran the regional power that is at odds with most of the world. However the political structure in both countries di...
June 14, 2009
As soon as President Barack Hussein Obama finished his speech and analysts gave a full critic for it. The man is intellectual and sincere in correcting mistakes of Bush´s administration. Whether his sincerity came from a will to achieve peace with Moslems or a will to serve his global strategy, the ...
June 01, 2009
Most probably, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did not change. He maneuvers to keep his cabinet in power. In Washington, it was clear that the US President Barack Obama has different views not only about solving the Middle East problem but also about conflicts with Iran. Netanyahu trie...
May 27, 2009
Which is better for the American strategy achieving victory in Central Asia or controlling the zone indirectly? The answer to this hypothetical question is the key to understanding the global American strategy from Pax-Americana to reconciliations with the Islamic World. This question may be asked i...
May 12, 2009
The ex-Soviet Union was the first country that recognized Israel. Moreover, there was an untold agreement between it and the Western powers to keep the military balance in the Middle East in the favor of the Hebrew State. The military relaxation in the Middle East was the term agreed by both superpo...
May 06, 2009
(7)
Egypt witnessed a turmoil against President Mohamed Nagib in March, 1954. He was forced to resign. Members of the Free Officers Movement were not well known to people. Because of the popularity of Mohamed Nagib things were about to explode. Abd El-Aziz was among the armor officers who support...
May 02, 2009
When president Obama chose Turkey to talk to the Islamic World, he stressed that his country is not and never will be in a war with Islam. He stressed also that both Islam and America have a common enemy that is extremism and terrorism. However, he did not define terrorism and he did not mention oth...
April 15, 2009
A strategy is usually an abstract of few words that serves as a core to set missions, aims and targets and to set policies that lead to achieve them. When President Obama announced his strategy about Afghanistan, one understands that his strategy is consolidating forces while opening doors for moder...
April 10, 2009
(6)
The Liberation Authority was the name of the new political organization that the Free Officers formed to replace all parties. Dissolving of parties made Refaat Pasha and Mahmood Pasha without anything to do but memories. They met everyday and sometimes they went to Alexandria together just to...
April 01, 2009
Peace received a hard blow. It is unlikely that the coallision in Israel would seek peace. The weak government with its untranationalists and ultrafundamentalists may expose the Middle East to dangerous risk and may expose Israel also to strategic risks.
March 27, 2009
Both the American President and his vice said that NATO forces are not winning the war in Afghanistan, but added that they are not losing the war. In military terms this means that NATO forces are facing an attrition war while losing the initiative. The mountainous geography of Afghanistan makes for...
March 23, 2009
(5)
Refaat Pasha was sitting with Mahmood Pasha at the famous Greek café Atinuos in Alexandria. They were reading the morning newspapers. Since the revolutions and they were not satisfied about what was happening. However, what enraged them most during the past few days was the invitation of the ...
March 20, 2009
There are three methods to approach Middle East Problems. Until now the American Administration did not find out which of them is suitable for the bomb timed region.
March 10, 2009
Iran sends the wrong message.
Ahmed Hany.
ahmedhany55@hotmail.com
While preparing for its long waited dialogue with the US, Iran took steps that show its ability to destabilize the region. This policy may be fruitful only when accompanied by other contradicting steps to prove the opposite. Y...
March 07, 2009
(4)
Captain Abd El-Aziz El-Sisi of the Royal Guard Forces was on duty service in Abdeen Palace in Cairo. King Farok was in his summer residential Palace in Ras El-Tin in Alexandria. It was after midnight when a soldier knocked at his room´s door. Usually he spent the nights reading when he ...
February 24, 2009
During Gaza War, the Turkish tried to play a role in the Palestinian cause. They tried to be neutral between the Arab camps. They sent a low profile delegate to Doha and their Premier attended the Sharm meeting with other European leaders. Officially, they supported the Egyptian-French initiative an...
February 21, 2009
(3)
Refaat Pasha took a step into the office of Serag Zaki the secretary of the Interior Minister. He stopped and coughed faintly to draw the attention of the secretary to his coming. The man stood up and wore his fez. The secretary extended his hand to Refaat Pasha while moving towards him. Thei...
February 19, 2009
The Arab media was occupied by the difference between a new Israeli government led by Tzipi Levini or Benjamin Netanyahu. This means that the Arabs are still happy to be in the reaction corner. What makes a real difference is whether the Arabs could plan to force any Israeli government to make peace...
February 13, 2009
Last year, after Georgian War, the gap between Russia and the US was widening. Some commentators thought that bipolarity would return. The American Republican Administration led by the Neo-Cons failed to gather all European Countries to boycott Russia. Even Britain, the most important ally to the US...
February 12, 2009
(2)
It was a sad evening. When Refaat Pasha told his old friend Mahmood Pasha what happened the day before. Silence filled the place.
´I understand,´ Mahmood Pasha broke in silence.
´I hope our plans about Abd El-Aziz and Farida are still agreed,´ Refaat Pasha ...
February 05, 2009
This is a new novel by the author telling about Egypt through characters lived during the period from 1950s to the 21st century. How revolutionaries took power and how they achieved and lost battles while the effect of people and their civil rights were violated. Even workers with whom the revolutions sympathized, did not become better. How eliet just changed their skin to be socialists, them capitalists again to remain in power.
It will be published as serials.
All characters in this story are fictitious. Any resemblance between a character and a person, dead or live is purely coincidental.
February 03, 2009
The war on Gaza proved one strategic fact, which is that there is no military solution for the Arab-Israeli conflict. However, unnecessary wars made people suffer and the causes of these wars are far from reaching a settling point to the conflict. Moreover, one may claim that Israel creates situatio...
January 27, 2009
President Obama avoided details when he gave out his first official speech as a president of the US. Even he avoided his administration´s priorities in the foreign policy. He talked about broad strategic lines that will formulate his policy.
Addressing the economic crisis he said frankly that con...
January 06, 2009
What happens in Gaza is a criminal act as if every Israeli Premier wants to have a record for the number of the Palestinian that were killed during his era. Killing civilians, children and women is something criminal and the international community should behave in a manner similar to what it did fo...
December 23, 2008
All of a sudden, nine attacks at different sites in Mumbai, the economic capital of the nuclear India, showed that terrorist groups became more powerful, thanks to bad management of Bush´s War-On-Terror. A group called Duncan Mujahedine or the Good Soldiers claimed responsibility. They are not Qaeda...
December 17, 2008
The strategic challenges that threaten the Arab System reached a peak that they threaten its presence now. The Israeli expansionist project failed and Israel seeks safe borders in the historical land of Palestine. However, time between strategic changes and political decisions to accommodate these c...
December 05, 2008
Both Israel and Palestine States are in the same boat. The international and regional development made the presence of one of them is necessary for the other. Failure to reach a solution for both states would simply force both people to live in a new one state.
Palestinian cause is now at its l...
November 26, 2008
During the electoral campaign President-elect Barak Obama set some priorities for his foreign policy. He put Afghanistan his top priority to fight terrorism or to keep control over Central Asia energy resources. Until now, nobody knows if he defines terrorism as Islamists´ terrorism only or he...
November 24, 2008
In the new American Administration, Biden will be in charge of the foreign policy or at least his voice will be the most important one. Day dreaming about Obama background is just groundless and one should know that strategies of the superpowers are studied and decided for any president.
November 12, 2008
Russia took serious steps to be back in the Mideast. However, the pragmatic Russia is different from the ideological Russia of the Soviet Union. The Russian strategy in the globalization era is different from its old strategy of the bipolar system. The Georgia War proved that Russia is a military ri...
November 07, 2008
The Israeli President Shimon Perez thought that he did Arabs a favor when he declared that his state likes to negotiate the Arab Peace Initiative. President Mubarak responded that this initiative is not for negotiations. In fact, Israel wants to negotiate anything but peace. The Arab Initiative is n...
October 21, 2008
The American economic crisis that spread to affect all the world will affect the American ability to continue as a solo player in world's leadership. Strategic changes either by reduction of targets or expanding the empire more are the solutions. The choince depends on what is best for the economy and the ideology of the new American administration.
October 14, 2008
Does the international financial crisis mean the end of capitalism? The answer is no. What has happened in the US means return of the governmental role to correct and tame it. It means a new era that does not confiscate people´s money and assets, but it considers the social security. Social se...
September 30, 2008
Tzipi Levini the Israeli Foreign Minister became the head of Kadema Party after winning marginally against Shaul Mofaz. If she could form a government within forty-two days, she would become the Israeli second woman that serves as a Prime Minister. Her rivals accuse her of inexperience particularly ...
September 23, 2008
After seven years of fighting, Bush´s administration is still far from declaring victory in any of its two fronts in the War on Terror. In fact, its faulty strategy has changed the war from "War on Terror" to something that may be best described as "War for Terror".
The US State Departmen...
September 18, 2008
What happened in Caucasus has changed the world. However, it is early to talk about Post-Americanism or an alternative world order. The US still has the most advanced economy and the first military power. Troubles in Iraq and in Afghanistan and rising international powers, Russia, China, EU and Indi...
September 10, 2008
Since creation of Pakistan in the middle of the last century and its main problem is security. Its geography and the corruption of its politicians had a drastic effect on the second largest Islamic country. The abstract of its history is alternative periods between incomplete democracy and military ...
September 05, 2008
Will the Americans respond to the Russian war on Georgia by attacking Iran. Yews, there is a high probability.
August 19, 2008
Whosever instigated the Georgian president to attack his breakaway province South Ossetia used his country to test Russian intentions. Yet the uncalculated move proved to be more harmful to instigators.
August 13, 2008
The American policy in the Middle East will not change until the Arabs use the cards they have. No need for hoping a change if a democratic president came while th Arabs are sleeping.
July 29, 2008
Despite that the Gulf Arabs are the most affected by Iran whether it could industrialize an atomic bomb, could have a deal with the US or even bombed, they did not formulate a strategy to both prevent war between their neighbor and the US or to defend themselves against the frank aggressive behavior of Iran
July 16, 2008
Syria started negotiating its peace deal. However first it has to disengage itself from the Iranian alliance. This poses threats to the regime in Syria. One may see the latest Sadat film that celebrates the assasin who killed him as a threat to President Bashar not to negotiate before Iran finalizing its deal with the USA. Who should save Syria from the Iranian revenge.
July 10, 2008
The Eu-Russia partnership is an important step not only to contain the Asian rising forces but also to build the land block that Alfred Makinder had predicted. The USA will still lead to the mid of this century but if and only if coordinated with both EU and Russia.
July 06, 2008
Global Changes and the Mideast.
Ahmed Hany.
ahmedhany55@hotmail.com
The last World Economic Forum in Sharm city predicted three phenomena that will shape the world in the near future. The main political change is the rising Asian Powers. The second is the expansion of the telecommunication se...
June 19, 2008
In the Mideast, all are waiting. All are fed up of the present situation and of violence. All talk to all directly or indirectly and no one listens to the other. All have to take decision but they do not want to take risks. While politicians talk to their rivals, they doubt their allies. All have do...
June 10, 2008
Whether the new president democratic or republican there will be a new American shift to less confrontation and more openness to rivals.
June 05, 2008
Creating a Palestinian Stae may not secure peace in the Middle East. With regard to many other factors one finds that a One State Solution is more applicable than a Two States Solution if peace was the goal.
June 02, 2008
What if the devil decided to be a believer. What would happen? To whom she he go to declare his repent?
From the globalization point of view the American President is the person who can speak, agree and refuse on behalf of the human race or that was the devil thought.
Read this short story . It is a fiction about the world in which we live.
May 31, 2008
The Arabs´ Puzzle.
Ahmed Hany.
ahmedhany55@hotmail.com
Why does the Arab System get weaker and weaker? The answer of this question may open the door for a better future. The institution that represents the Arab system is the Arab League. It was formed by six Arab countries to promote an...
May 28, 2008
Wether Olmart resigns or not this will not affect the installed situation because everybody in the Middle East waits for the new American Administration to go ahead.
May 26, 2008
While the US is reluctant about the Syrian Israeli negotiation in Turkey, it gave all parties the green light. However all parties wait for the new American Administration to go serious.
May 20, 2008
What is happening in Lebanon now is a part of the Iranian trials to implant its flag on the Mediterranean coast. The diversity in the Levant is so important for the Mideast peace that any trial to change it means wars between geopolitical stable countries.
April 30, 2008
Carter´s visit to the Mideast was an important step to reach the "moment of truth" which is essential for any peace process to be successful. It showed that Hamas as an organization in not considered a terrorist group in all American circles. Carter as an ex-president has influence in the Demo...
April 27, 2008
After five years of occupation, it is too early to see the light at the end of the dark tunnel in Iraq. The Malky´s government cannot put rules for a national dialogue until now. It started a campaign against a Shiite sector. This new campaign is not about faith but it is about ideology and lo...
April 27, 2008
The establishing fathers of Israel did not think that their brainchild state might be in a situation of a strategic dilemma. It is known that dilemma means choice between two or more bad options. They planed for the Great Israel that extends from Euphrates to Nile.
What happened since 1973 war u...
April 10, 2008
Russia is ready to have a role in the Mideast, which is vital for its strategic interests. Yet there is a range for this role that is determined by many factors in both the internal Russian politics and its global strategy. The importance of the Mideast for Russia is so vital that if this superpower...
April 04, 2008
China received the independence declaration of Kosovo with reservation and it did not recognize it. It feared repercussion of this independence would affect its homeland. There are many ethnic populations in China and ethnic Han is the majority.
Tibet is one of the provinces that pose threats fo...
March 22, 2008
Did the US president George W Bush predict that his soldiers would protect the Iranian President in Baghdad? Most probably he and his New Cons planned for it. Iran aided the Americans to occupy Afghanistan and Iraq. In policy, there is no charity. Therefore, after the Iranian Vice President confesse...
March 11, 2008
Kosovo is not Palestine , but Kurdstan may be another Kosovo.
February 25, 2008
NATO faces many challenges. The most serious is a defeat in Afghanistan. The US may try to replace the organization with another two, one with East Europe and the other with Southern Mediterranean countries.
February 19, 2008
The peace process in the Middle East will lead to a scared Israel, non viable Palestine in the West bank and a canton for extremism in Gaza.
February 14, 2008
Breaching of borders by Hamas just serves the Israeliproject of extending Gaza Strip intothe Egyptian Land for creation of the new Palestinian State there.
February 08, 2008
France will have a military base in the Emirates that will host 500 troops. This is part of the french strategy to activate its role and to have the position of Britain as a first ally of the US.
January 31, 2008
The Russian Chief of Staff said that his country would use nuclear arms preventively as a prophylactic measure to defend the sovereignty and integrity of its land and its allies. Russia has not used this new language since the end of the cold war.
It may be understood that Russia uses its nuclea...
January 18, 2008
The presidential crisis in Lebanon is not the first in its history and it will not be the last. Regardless of what happens to the Arab Initiative to save the tiny country, Arabs should prepare themselves to face the same crisis after the term of Soliman ends if he would be a president. A tiny countr...
January 03, 2008
The Palestinian-Israeli negotiations that have begun after Annapolis are just non-productive meetings. Negotiating the negotiations is the proper term to describe this silly movie. Israel is doing its best to ruin any chance for peace. Olmart cannot take hard decisions. Even his last announcement th...
December 28, 2007
The assassination of the Pakistani ex-Prime Minister Benazir Butto marks a serious development in the War on Terror. El-Qaeda declared its responsibility about the criminal act. The direct cause of WW1 was the assassination of the Austrian Crown Prince. To predict developments one should ask some qu...
December 21, 2007
The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), embarrassed the Vice president’s group and gave more power to the foreign ministry in Washington. It shows that the seventeen intelligence agencies united with the Army Generals and the Foreign Ministry to stop the powerful Vice Dick Cheney and his weak Pres...
December 14, 2007
Putin will not step down. He will change his office and post. This will change the relationship between the presidency and the ministry in Moscow. Most probably, the ministry will be more powerful. Moreover, the constitutional period that limit the presidency period will no longer be applied. He wil...
December 07, 2007
When President Bush called for Annapolis, parley Israel had objections but it went after American promise that the US will not impose solutions or timetable for negotiations. The Arabs received the American invitation with doubts due to their experience with such conferences. Before going to Annapol...
December 04, 2007
The Annapolis parley ended after heads of delegates said what they had said before the gathering. Shortly after the gathering, Mrs. Rice appointed ex-General James Jones as an assistant for the Middle East region security. She did not tell about the precise mission of the ex-General apart from witne...
November 24, 2007
After sixty years of fight and lost chances the Palestinians and the Israelis knew that there is no a military solution for their conflict. The Arabs sees peace a strategic option to end the Arab-Israeli conflict. However, until now negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis are not frui...
November 18, 2007
To have a good relation with the Anglo-Saxon in general, one should surrender to them, confront them or create a need for a friendship that the Anglo-Saxon values. The price of the friendship should be more beneficial and less harmful than confrontation for the Anglo-Saxon to succeed. Since Sarkozy ...
November 09, 2007
The US won its cold war against the ex-Soviet Union through strategies and policies. First, it dragged the communist empire into a military adventure in Afghanistan. Then it put more pressure on the defeated Soviet Union’s economy by what was then called space war.
In the nineteenth century, the...
November 02, 2007
The US refused a timetable for the negotiations to declare Palestine. The American foreign ministry spokesperson said that. Since Abbas and Olmart have started their meeting to solve their problems and to put a common document for the peace conference, it was clear that they would not agree about su...
October 25, 2007
One cannot separate what is happening on the Iraqi-Turkish borders from Condi’s theory of creative chaos or the Congress’ decision to divide Iraq. The American war on terror did not bring stability to Central Asia. It spread wide spread chaos that crossed the Afghani-Pakistani borders. The war for o...
October 22, 2007
Putin is not leaving. He suggested that he would be a prime minister and he chose one of his close aids fore the top job in Russia in a bid to avoid constitutional reform. This fact made the BBC to broadcast a special commentary program on what is happening in Russia.
While Putin is ready to spr...
October 15, 2007
Mrs. Rice visited Jerusalem and the occupied territories to help Olmart and Abbas to reach a common document for the Autumn Washington Peace Conference. Then this is a conference about the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. This document is not an agenda for peace. An agenda should include the Syrian and...
October 06, 2007
What is happening now in the Middle East shows that all partners fear war but they hold arms against each other. While partners are trying to make their seats comfortable on the negotiation table, they are scared from the failure of the badly prepared conference’s repercussions. Mr. Bush announced t...
September 28, 2007
In a rare occasion, the Democrats and the Republicans agreed on a resolution for the four and half years Iraqi war. The senate voted on a non-obligatory decision for dividing the war torn country into three states. The senate sees the three states solution in Iraq may help the American Army to withd...
September 24, 2007
Gambling constitutes an important pillar in the American culture and personalities. They think that gambling teach them how to take risks. When ideology is more important for politicians than strategy, usually these politicians find it difficult to separate between their nature and plans. In other w...
September 14, 2007
The Petraeus-Crocker testimony in the U.S. Congress is the second strategic evaluation of security in Iraq. The first was months ago when Hamilton-Baker published their strategic study of the situation there. The first report advised four options to solve the problems there. Withdrawal, sending more...
September 12, 2007
When President Bush called for a peace conference in Washington, people in the Mideast first showed interest then pessimism hunted souls. All believe that Bush tries to achieve any political success in the region after his strategy faced criticism even from some republicans. He wants to negotiate Pa...
November 30, 1999
Bush’s visit to the Mideast came at a time when the US is to revise its strategic priorities if not goals in this volatile region. The first electoral tests showed that the Americans want change not only in their homeland but also in their global strategies. Bush knows that the US is less strong tha...
Articles by Ahmed Hany From Other Sources
May 26, 2008
published in Fiction, Story tells about the period from 1967 to 2005
May 21, 2008
published in Arabic historic drama - fiction - romance - tells about the period 1967-2005