Total Exposure in Gaza
Most of arms and explosives that reach Gaza come from the sea that the Israeli navy controls its shores. Therefore, Israel should blame its navy for the ineffective control before crying about Hamasī rockets. However, Israel has a motive to let Hamas fires a few rockets, sacrificing a few persons to kill hundreds. Israel is an occupation force and the international law gives the Palestinians the right to resist and fight occupation by any means. To end this situation Israel should be sincere about peace and finalize negotiations with the Palestinian Authority according to UNSC resolutions 242, 338, 339 and the Arab Peace Initiative. When final agreement is reached, another situation will be on the ground.
Hamas should differentiate between intelligent resistance and stupid resistance on cost benefit bases if good intentions are to be considered. First, when Hamas shared in the election that was based on Oslo Accords then it recognized them legally. This means that it accepted to be a partner in a regime that recognizes Israel. Hamas shared in a government under the presidency of the Palestinian Authority. Directly, it should respect agreements that are signed by this authority. One of these agreements is Raffah crossing agreement. When it toppled the Palestinian Authority in Gaza it became responsible for the consequences. In other words, it should arrange for the Palestinian Authority to send its inspector and its Presidential Guard with the EU inspectors before asking Egypt to open Raffah crossing. Changing the case from solving the Palestinian cause to opening of the crossing cast doubts about its intentions. Does Hamas want an independent Hamas-Stan? Firing ineffective rockets sacrificing many Palestinians in the name of resistance means that the resistance concept of Hamas should be revised. It is shame that Hamasī Chief Khalid Mashaal declares that Hamas has no objecting to sacrificing all Gazan people. Fighters fight for freedom and a better life for their people and sacrifice themselves for the sake of their people - not vice versa. Creating problems for Egypt on its borders means that the strategic concept that Palestinians consider Egypt is their first ally is not the concept of Hamas.
Did Hamasī leader ask the responsible to bring together security men and cadets of the Police Academy in one site, where they were all killed, at a time when everyone was expecting an Israeli attack? Considering good intentions, whoever gave this order, knew nothing about state security. Considering evil intentions, one could say that the Israeli secret service Mosad infiltrated Gaza and many Palestinian factions. Hamas has no excuse, and the late Sheikh Yassin Hamasī late spiritual leader was killed when a phone call told Israelis that he was on his way out of the mosque.
Hamas allied itself to Iran, Syria and Hezbo-Allah. Did they serve the Palestinian cause? Iran has ground-to ground missiles that reach Israel. Why did it not fire them to retaliate Israeli attacks? And they never will. How many Hamas fighters were killed by Syrian army in 1982? The answer is thousands. How many Palestinians were killed by Hezbo-Allah in 1984? The answer is thousands. How many Palestinians were killed by Egyptians? The answer is none. Iran gathered students in one of Tehran universities and they were told to ask authorities in front of TV screens to send them for suicidal attacks. Why didnīt Iran train and supply them with explosive belts and send them to Lebanon to do that, if sending them to Gaza was difficult? It will never do that. Why did late Sheikh Yassin choose Egypt to be treated in its hospitals when he feared that a attempt on his life was being considered?
In fact, Hamas is divided into three factions between Ismail Hannya, Mahmood El-Zahar and Saied Siam. One faction believes that Hamas should create an Islamic Emirate instead of a Palestinian State and this Islamic Emirate might liberate or negotiate about the rest of Palestine. However, this serves the current Israeli and the Iranian projects and this idea will not work.
When US Defence Secretary Robert Gates proposed that Iraq join the Gulf Co-operation Council, it was the first step of disengagement between the Iranian project and the Israeli project. Step two, was instigating Hamas not to renew the truce and to provoke Israel by firing its non-effective rockets to give Israel a reason to attack Gaza and to exert pressure on Egypt to open Raffah crossing permanently. This gives Israel an excellent opportunity to force Gazans to flee to Egypt to create refugees camps on the Egyptian land as a step to create a Palestinian state by swapping of lands between Egypt and Israel so that Israel could steel more Palestinian land in the West Bank. There would be a Hamas-Stan and Fattah-land while Israel could claim that it has no partners for peace.
The next step would be to instigate the international community to topple Hamas. Iran would help fight the Sunni Hamas-Stan extremism as what happened with Taliban and Pakistan. That is why an Islamic Emirate project will not work. Egypt will find itself fighting extremism on its borders and their armed supporters inside the country. Let us not forget that Egypt arrested Hamas men that smuggled explosives to Egypt when they gathered Gazans to break the crossing gate a few months ago. This will alienate Egypt. Iran will experience a free hand for intimidation and it will bully Gulf States with creation of some Shiite States. The Palestinian Authority will be so weak without Egyptian support that it would accept anything. Then we are about a project that serves both Iranian and Israeli projects.
Syria allowed Iran to open five thousand Husaynia (Shiite religious centers) that gives people money if they convert to Shiite faith. A few days before attacks on Gaza, Syrian President Bashar of the Allawite faith, (A Shiite faction) declared that he was willing to negotiate directly with Israelis. However, after and not before the Turkish his sponsor of negotiations, blocked it, he declared that he would not negotiate. Although he was engaged in negotiations both Syria and Iran that plays the Syrian card made every effort to block the negotiations on the Palestinian path. One of the duties of Hezbo-Allahīs Chief Hassan Nasr-Allah is to intimidate and bully the Lebanese government, not to negotiate now but when final arrangements for the Gulf and Syria would be reached, with the possibility of dividing Lebanon and creating a Shiite State in the south. His forces occupied Beirut before and killed many of his nationals. He blocked building a powerful Lebanese army by refusing to hand over his arms and to engage in the army, because the army will not be under his control. He went into 2006 war and claimed victory. Israel did not win the war but Lebanon was destroyed and 1000 Lebanese were killed for 100 Israelis.
Then Iran is about a deal, which is for Syria to make a Shiite state in South Lebanon that defines the borders between the Iranian and Israeli projects. President Bashar is committing a grave mistake if he thinks that Iran would leave him alone because he is Allawite and gave Iran a free hand to open its five thousand Husaynia centers. After all the Syrian Regime is secular and could not be trusted by Tehran. A worse scenario would be toppling the Syrian regime and replacing it with a regime that follows orders of Shiite scholars but swapping Golan for the Shiite South Lebanon State and both Syria and South Lebanon would be loyal to Tehran.
The fact is both Israel and Iran know that Egypt is the main Arab and Sunni force in the region. They know that there is no real war without Egypt in this region. Israel knows that if the Two-States solution failed and Egypt called for One-State solution many things would change. Israel tries for the Three-States solution.
Iran knows that as long as Egypt is stable there will be no hope for its project. The scenario of Taliban and Pakistan encouraged it to try it in Palestine to build its Persian Shiite Empire.
It is time to say, quite frankly, Iran is like Israel. There is no good occupation and bad occupation. Iran occupies three Emirate Island and Arab-Stan that changed its name to Khuzestan. The Arab League asked all Arab countries to make maximum efforts to liberate Arab-Stan in 1964. Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia should have strategic dialogue with the new American Administration, EU, Russia and China. If the Two-States solution is still valid, the borders of 1967 will be final. Any Gulf security arrangements should deal with lands occupied by Iran.

